Adapted Screenplay
127 Hours
I Love You Phillip Morris
The Social Network
The Town
True Grit
I Love You Phillip Morris is a bit of a surprise, but given how so many adaptations are out of the running, it's a surprise we knew would be coming.
Original Screenplay
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
Please Give
Please Give is another expected surprise, benefiting from a number of high-profile ineligibilities.
Documentary Screenplay
Enemies of the People
Freedom Riders
Gasland
Inside Job
The Two Escobars
Who Is Harry Nilsson (And Why Is Everybody Talkin’ About Him)?
Inside Job is the only real Oscar hopeful here (although GasLand and Enemies of the People are on the shortlist). I'm rooting for it all the way, as it is one of the most finely written films of the year.