Not a lot has changed since the beginning of November. Only a couple of new films have been screened for the press, and expectations have basically been met, so there aren't many adjustments in my predictions; basically just a couple of tweaks in Documentary Feature now that the shortlist has landed.
The January update, after most of the critics groups have had their say, will bring more changes. I'll also put up some wild guesses for the short categories next month once I've had a chance to peruse the contenders.